NAIROBI, Kenya – The political arena in Kenya is abuzz following former President Uhuru Kenyatta's renewed engagement with the Jubilee Party, a move widely interpreted as a direct challenge to Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua's perceived dominance within the ruling UDA-led coalition. Kenyatta, who has largely maintained a low profile since the 2022 general election, appears to be reasserting his leadership within the party he once chaired, potentially setting the stage for a significant political realignment.

Kenyatta's re-entry into active party politics comes at a time when Gachagua has been consolidating his position, particularly within the Mount Kenya region. The Deputy President has often been seen as the de facto leader of the region, a narrative that Kenyatta's actions now seem to directly contest. Analysts suggest that this development could lead to a 'split mountain' scenario, referring to the politically significant Mount Kenya voting bloc, which has historically played a crucial role in national elections.

The implications of Kenyatta's move are far-reaching. Firstly, it could introduce a new dynamic into the opposition's strategy. While Jubilee is technically part of the Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Coalition, Kenyatta's direct involvement could provide a more unified and formidable front against the Kenya Kwanza government. His experience and political gravitas could galvanise a segment of the electorate that feels disenfranchised by the current administration.

Secondly, the internal power struggle within Jubilee could have ripple effects on the stability of the ruling coalition. Although Jubilee is not the dominant party in Kenya Kwanza, its internal affairs, especially with Kenyatta's influence, could create fissures that the opposition might exploit. Gachagua's efforts to consolidate power in the Mount Kenya region could face significant hurdles if Kenyatta successfully mobilises his loyalists within Jubilee and beyond.

Political observers are keenly watching how this situation unfolds, particularly regarding its potential impact on public debate and policy execution. Stakeholders are urging for clarity on several fronts:

• Timelines: When will Kenyatta's full re-engagement become apparent, and what specific actions will he take?
• Costs: What are the political costs for both Kenyatta and Gachagua in this power struggle, and how might it affect their respective political futures?
• Safeguards: What mechanisms are in place to ensure that this political jostling does not derail critical government functions or exacerbate existing political tensions?

The re-emergence of Uhuru Kenyatta is not merely a party affair; it is a national political event that could redefine alliances, shift loyalties, and influence the trajectory of Kenya's governance. His past presidency and continued influence, particularly in his home region, make him a formidable figure whose actions cannot be easily dismissed. The coming months are expected to reveal the true extent of this political shake-up and its lasting impact on Kenya's political landscape.