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The parliamentary poll in Tharaka Nithi County is a critical test of Deputy President Kithure Kindiki's political influence and a barometer for the ruling UDA party's grassroots strength ahead of the 2027 general election.
The by-election carries significant weight for Deputy President Kithure Kindiki, whose home county is Tharaka Nithi. Political analysts observe the poll as a litmus test of his influence and ability to consolidate the Mt. Kenya East voting bloc for the government. A victory for the UDA candidate would solidify his standing as a key political figure in the region, while a loss could expose vulnerabilities and embolden rivals ahead of the 2027 succession politics. The Deputy President has been a prominent figure on the campaign trail, urging residents to support the government's development agenda by electing the UDA candidate. The fierce campaigns, which officially ended on Monday, November 24, saw high-profile leaders from both the government and opposition camps descend on Maara to rally support for their respective candidates. Key campaign issues have included the state of the local economy, particularly prices for tea and coffee, infrastructure development, and youth unemployment—topics that resonate deeply within the agrarian constituency.
In response to the heated political rhetoric during the campaigns, the National Police Service (NPS) has deployed a substantial number of officers, both in uniform and in plain clothes, to ensure peace and order. Speaking on Tuesday, November 25, an NPS spokesperson confirmed a "robust, multi-faceted security plan" was in place in coordination with the IEBC to create a safe environment for voters. Deputy President Kindiki also issued a stern warning against any attempts to instigate violence, assuring residents that security agencies would act decisively to maintain peace. Some opposition figures have raised concerns about the deployment of plainclothes officers, but the IEBC and security officials have maintained that the measures are precautionary and designed to protect the integrity of the electoral process. The IEBC has assured the public of a free, fair, and transparent election. In a briefing on Wednesday, November 26, the commission detailed its results management plan, stating that all vote counting will occur at the polling stations in full view of party agents, observers, and the media. Official results forms will be publicly posted at each station, and the final tally will be announced at the constituency tallying centre at Agoro Sare High School. Voters are identified using the KIEMS kit, and their fingers are marked with indelible ink after voting to prevent multiple voting.
The Maara by-election is one of several mini-polls taking place across the country, but its outcome is expected to have significant national reverberations. It serves as a barometer for the ruling UDA party's popularity in the vote-rich Mt. Kenya region, which was instrumental in President William Ruto's 2022 victory. The main opposition coalition, Azimio la Umoja, is keenly watching the results as it seeks to make inroads into government strongholds and gauge its own strength following a period of realignment. The primary contest pits the UDA candidate against a strong contender backed by a coalition of opposition-aligned parties. The results, expected to start trickling in late Thursday evening, will not only determine Maara's next representative but will also shape political narratives and strategic calculations for all major players looking towards the 2027 General Election.
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