MOSCOW — The diplomatic frost is deepening in Moscow. Despite renewed global efforts to bring the grinding war in Ukraine to a close, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has poured cold water on any optimism, declaring there is "still a long way to go" before peace can be realized.

Lavrov’s comments come amidst a swirl of speculation regarding potential pressure from US President Donald Trump to force a settlement. However, the veteran Russian diplomat remained defiant, signaling that the Kremlin is not ready to compromise on its core objectives. His statement effectively resets the clock on negotiations, suggesting that the conflict, now in its fifth year, is far from its endgame.

Maximalist Demands Remain

The stumbling block remains Russia’s maximalist demands. Lavrov reiterated that any peace deal must address Russia’s "legitimate security concerns"—a euphemism for the demilitarization of Ukraine and the recognition of annexed territories. "There is no reason for enthusiasm," Lavrov told state media, dismissing the idea that Western pressure would force Russia’s hand.

This hardline stance contrasts with the desperation on the frontlines, where soldiers on both sides continue to die in a war of attrition. By downplaying the prospects of a breakthrough, Moscow appears to be preparing its population—and the world—for a prolonged conflict. The message to Kyiv and Washington is clear: Russia will not negotiate from a position of perceived weakness.

• The Trump Factor: While Trump has promised to end the war "in 24 hours," Lavrov’s comments suggest Moscow is unimpressed by American bluster.
• The Reality on the Ground: Fighting continues unabated in the Donbas, with neither side able to deliver a knockout blow.
• The Diplomatic Stalemate: Peace talks remain frozen, with the gap between Ukraine’s demand for sovereignty and Russia’s demand for control appearing unbridgeable.

Europe on Edge

For European capitals, Lavrov’s words are a sobering reality check. The hope that the war might end in 2026 is fading, replaced by the grim prospect of indefinite instability on the continent’s eastern flank. The humanitarian cost continues to mount, even as the diplomats speak in circles.

As the snow melts in Ukraine, the only certainty is uncertainty. Lavrov has drawn a line, and until one side blinks, the guns will not fall silent. The "long way to go" may well be a road paved with more tragedy.