Uhuru’s Last Gamble: Revenge, Legacy, or 2027 Power Play with Matiang’i?

Nairobi, Kenya — September 27, 2025 (EAT).

As former President Uhuru Kenyatta returns to Jubilee Party’s leadership and makes public appearances with Fred Matiang’i, debates swirl over whether this is a pursuit of political vengeance, a legacy project, or a backstage maneuver ahead of the 2027 election.

The Stakes

Uhuru’s comeback is not just symbolic. It signals a renewed attempt to stay relevant in Kenya’s fractious political landscape. With Jubilee reactivated and key figures like Matiang’i by his side, the stakes are high: does Uhuru aim to resurrect his influence, secure a legacy, or position allies for 2027?

Evidence & Moves So Far

• Leadership at Jubilee NDC: On September 26, 2025, Uhuru presided over a Jubilee Special National Delegates Conference (NDC) at Ngong Racecourse, formally reclaiming leadership of the party.

• Matiang’i in the Fold: Former Interior CS Fred Matiang’i, long seen as strong state operator, has been closely associated with Jubilee’s troops, raising speculation about his role in the resurgence.

• Messaging & Narrative: Jubilee’s framing in media and speeches emphasizes “renewal,” “reform,” and “national cohesion”—themes consistent with a legacy project.

• Strategic timing: Jubilee’s energised return comes at a time when opposition parties are realigning and inner struggles are becoming public, opening space for Kingmakers or spoilers.

Three Possible Strategic Drivers

Implications for Kenyan Politics

• Coalition dynamics: Jubilee’s reactivation complicates arrangements between major blocs. Could be swing factor or destabilizer.

• Opposition fragmentation: Uhuru’s resurgence may fuel splits, especially in parties that once courted him.

• Institutional influence: He may push for policy levers, party machinery control, or patronage networks leveraged via Jubilee’s apparatus.

• Narrative shift: His reemergence changes how media and voters frame the 2027 battleground—not just a contest among new faces, but a clash of old beasts.

What We Don’t Know Yet

• Will Uhuru run again (directly or via proxies)?

• What role Matiang’i will play — contender, strategist, or party leader?

• How other opposition and ruling party figures will respond or align.

• Whether Jubilee can rebuild a grassroots base or appeal beyond its legacy following.