US President Donald Trump has issued a stark ultimatum to Hamas, warning the militant group will face "hell to pay" if it fails to disarm immediately under his administration's new 20-point peace roadmap.

The comments, made during high-stakes talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Florida on Monday, signal a volatile shift in US foreign policy that could ripple through global markets—impacting everything from Middle East stability to fuel prices at Kenyan pumps.

The Disarmament Demand

Meeting at his Florida estate, Trump pressed for a rapid transition to "phase two" of the ceasefire agreement. While the President expressed optimism about reaching this stage "very quickly," his rhetoric remained combative regarding the conditions required for long-term peace.

"If they don't disarm as they agreed to do... then there will be hell to pay for them," Trump told reporters, emphasizing that the window for compliance is closing. "They have to disarm in a fairly short period of time."

The President's assertion that Israel has "lived up to the plan 100%" stands in contrast to reports of continuing military operations by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) in Gaza. This disconnect highlights the fragility of the current truce, where definitions of compliance often differ between Washington, Tel Aviv, and humanitarian observers.

A Warning to Tehran

Beyond Gaza, the discussions broadened to regional security, specifically targeting Iran. Trump explicitly stated that the United States would support a major strike on the Islamic Republic should it attempt to rebuild its ballistic missile or nuclear weapons programs.

This expansion of the threat matrix suggests the US is prepared to widen the conflict if provoked, a scenario that historically drives up the cost of crude oil—a critical concern for Kenya's import-heavy energy sector.

Reconstruction and the Road Ahead

Despite the bellicose language, the talks touched on the humanitarian necessity of rebuilding the shattered enclave. Trump noted that reconstruction efforts could "begin pretty soon," contingent on the disarmament process.

Key takeaways from the Florida summit include:

• Phase Two Urgency: The US wants an immediate shift to the next stage of the peace deal.
• Strict Disarmament: Hamas faces severe, unspecified consequences for non-compliance.
• Iran Red Line: Any nuclear or ballistic resurgence by Tehran could trigger US-backed strikes.
• Reconstruction: Rebuilding Gaza is on the table, but only after security conditions are met.

As the situation develops, the definition of "hell to pay" remains ambiguous, leaving analysts to question whether this is a negotiation tactic or a prelude to renewed, intensified conflict.