A high-stakes political storm is brewing in Siaya County after Senator Oburu Oginga convened a controversial "consultative" meeting that conspicuously excluded Governor James Orengo. The gathering, featuring the Governor's fiercest rivals, has ignited intense speculation of a plot to impeach the county boss before the 2027 elections.

The photograph posted on Oburu's social media was more than a status update; it was a declaration of war. Flanked by Deputy Governor William Oduol—who has been openly estranged from Orengo—and former Rarieda MP Nicholas Gumbo, the Senator's message of "consultation" was drowned out by the deafening silence of Orengo's absence. In the intricate dance of Luo Nyanza politics, such omissions are never accidental; they are calculated maneuvers designed to signal a shifting center of power.

The Coalition of the Disgruntled

The composition of the meeting's attendees reads like a "Who's Who" of the anti-Orengo establishment. [...](asc_slot://start-slot-5)Besides Oduol and Gumbo, the room included legislators Christine Ombaka, Elisha Odhiambo, and David Ochieng. Elisha Odhiambo, in particular, has been a thorn in the ODM party's side, having previously aligned with the Kenya Kwanza administration, earning him the label of a "rebel."

Sources close to the Senator argue that the meeting was strictly about "county development and unity." [...](asc_slot://start-slot-7)However, insiders paint a different picture: one of a rapidly fracturing base where the old guard, represented by the Odingas, is reassessing its alliances. "You do not meet with the enemy of your general unless you are planning a mutiny," noted one Siaya-based political analyst. The phrase "Mnapanga impeachment?" (Are you planning impeachment?) trended instantly across Kenyan social media, reflecting the public's immediate interpretation of the optics.

• The Oduol Factor: Deputy Governor William Oduol survived an impeachment attempt in the Senate last year, a survival many attributed to external protection. His presence at Oburu's table suggests he has now found internal patronage.
• Gumbo's Return: Nicholas Gumbo, who gave Orengo a run for his money in 2022, is widely seen as the Senator's preferred alternative should Orengo fall out of favor.

A Battle for the Soul of Siaya

This political theater unfolds against a backdrop of growing dissatisfaction with service delivery in the county. Governor Orengo, a legal titan and veteran of Kenya's second liberation, finds himself fighting a different kind of battle—one not of ideology, but of grassroots patronage and performance. His critics accuse him of being aloof, while his supporters claim he is being sabotaged by the very deputies meant to assist him.

Oburu Oginga, often the weathervane for the Odinga family's political direction, has effectively put Orengo on notice. By legitimizing the opposition within the party's stronghold, Oburu has signaled that the ODM ticket for 2027 is not a guarantee. [...](asc_slot://start-slot-9)As the whispers of impeachment turn into open conversation, Siaya stands on the precipice of a political showdown that could redefine the region's leadership hierarchy.