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The targeted killing of Haytham Ali Tabatabai shatters a year-long ceasefire, risking wider regional conflict with potential economic and security implications for Kenya.

An Israeli airstrike in Beirut killed Hezbollah’s military chief of staff, Haytham Ali Tabatabai, on Sunday, November 23, 2025, in a dramatic escalation that ends a nearly year-long ceasefire and threatens to reignite broader conflict in the Middle East. The attack, which targeted a residential building in the Hezbollah stronghold of Haret Hreik in Beirut's southern suburbs, also killed at least four other people and wounded 28, according to Lebanon's health ministry.
Both the Israeli military and Hezbollah have confirmed Tabatabai's death. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) described him as the group's "de facto chief of staff" and a "veteran and central operative" who was leading Hezbollah's efforts to rebuild its military capabilities following the destructive 14-month conflict that ended with a US-brokered ceasefire on November 27, 2024. Hezbollah eulogized Tabatabai as a “great Jihadi commander” who was killed in a “treacherous Israeli attack.”
The strike occurred at approximately 7:00 PM EAT (6:00 PM in Beirut) when three missiles struck the third and fourth floors of a nine-story apartment building, causing significant damage to the structure and nearby vehicles. The targeted assassination of such a high-ranking figure is the most significant since the 2024 ceasefire and signals a potential return to wider hostilities.
Haytham Ali Tabatabai, born in 1968 to a Lebanese mother and an Iranian father, was a seasoned commander who joined Hezbollah in the 1980s. He rose through the ranks to hold several senior positions, including commander of the elite Radwan Force and head of the group's operations in Syria, where he supported the government of Bashar al-Assad. In 2016, the United States designated Tabatabai as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist, offering a reward of up to $5 million for information leading to his capture. The U.S. Treasury Department identified him as a key military leader who commanded Hezbollah's special forces in both Syria and Yemen. After Israel assassinated much of Hezbollah's senior leadership in 2024, Tabatabai was appointed chief of staff and tasked with rebuilding the organization's military strength.
The airstrike comes almost exactly one year after a ceasefire, mediated by the United States and France, halted a conflict that began in October 2023. The agreement required Hezbollah to withdraw its forces north of the Litani River and for the Lebanese army to deploy in the south, with Israel conducting a phased withdrawal from southern Lebanon. However, the truce has been fragile. According to Lebanon's Health Ministry, Israeli fire has killed over 300 people since the ceasefire began, and the UN peacekeeping mission has reported thousands of Israeli air and ground violations. Israel maintains that its actions are necessary to prevent Hezbollah from rearming and violating the terms of the ceasefire. Following the strike, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office stated that Tabatabai had “led the organization's force build-up and armament efforts” and that Israel would “continue to do whatever is necessary to prevent Hezbollah from reestablishing its ability to threaten us.”
The assassination has drawn swift condemnation from Iran, a key ally of Hezbollah. The Iranian Foreign Ministry called the strike a “blatant act of terrorism and a war crime” and criticized the “inaction and silence” of the United Nations Security Council. A senior Hezbollah official, Mahmud Qomati, stated that the attack “crosses a new red line.” Lebanese President Joseph Aoun condemned the strike, urging the international community to intervene to prevent further escalation. Reports from Israeli media suggested that the United States was informed of the strike and was “pleased” with the outcome, though a US official claimed Washington was only notified as the strike was underway.
While the conflict is geographically distant, its escalation poses significant risks to Kenya and the wider East African region. Heightened instability in the Middle East often leads to a surge in global oil prices. As a net importer of fuel, Kenya's economy is vulnerable to such shocks, which can drive up the cost of transport and production, leading to broader inflation that affects the price of essential goods, including food. Previous conflicts in the region have demonstrated this direct economic impact.
Furthermore, increased geopolitical tensions can lead to a flight to safety in global financial markets, strengthening the US dollar against currencies like the Kenyan shilling. This depreciation makes imports more expensive and can exacerbate economic pressures. The conflict also threatens maritime trade routes in the Red Sea, a vital corridor for East African commerce. Disruptions by actors like the Houthis in Yemen, who are aligned with Iran and Hezbollah, could impact shipping and trade.
On the security front, Kenya has previously been the target of terrorist groups like Al-Shabaab. Heightened anti-Western sentiment fueled by the Middle East conflict could create a more permissive environment for such groups to operate or inspire solidarity attacks. When the 2024 ceasefire was announced, the Kenyan government, through Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi, welcomed the agreement as a vital step towards regional peace and had been involved in evacuating over 300 of its citizens from the conflict zone. The collapse of this truce and the prospect of a wider war create renewed uncertainty and potential danger for Kenyan nationals in the region and underscore the interconnectedness of global security. FURTHER INVESTIGATION REQUIRED.