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As the rial crumbles, merchants and students unite in a rare challenge to Tehran’s leadership, sending warning signals to struggling economies worldwide.

Alborz, a textile merchant in the historic city of Isfahan, never considered himself a revolutionary until the price of bread became a mathematical impossibility. Facing a ledger that no longer balanced and a family he could no longer feed, he shuttered his shop this week, joining a wave of anger that has spilled from the bazaars to the boulevards.
This is not just political dissent; it is a fight for survival. As demonstrations enter their fourth day, the streets of Tehran and major provincial cities are witnessing a rare convergence of students, traders, and working-class families. They are united by a singular, crushing reality: the collapse of their national currency.
The catalyst for this unrest was Sunday’s catastrophic plunge of the Iranian rial, which hit a historic low of 1.42 million to the US dollar. To put this volatility into a Kenyan perspective, the currency has lost over 56% of its value in just six months. Imagine if the Kenya Shilling, currently trading steadily against the dollar, were to suddenly lose half its purchasing power, doubling the price of fuel and unga in a matter of weeks.
For Alborz, whose name has been changed to protect his safety, the mathematics of daily life have broken down. “What will my children eat? Do we have to bring suitcases of cash to simply buy bread? Do you find that normal?” he told The Guardian, highlighting the panic gripping the populace.
Official data paints a grim picture of the crisis:
Analysts note that while these scenes recall the 2022 uprising sparked by the death of Mahsa Amini, the engine driving this unrest is different. The 2022 protests were ignited by social liberties and the enforcement of the hijab; today’s anger is rooted in the wallet. This shift is significant because it draws in the "Bazaaris"—the traditional merchant class—who have historically been a pillar of support for the regime but are now closing their doors in protest.
Iran remains under some of the most severe international sanctions in history, which have choked the government's access to foreign exchange. However, demonstrators are increasingly directing their fury at the government's mismanagement rather than foreign powers. Chants criticizing the clerical leadership have been reported across university campuses, where students have defied police blockades to paralyze academic activities.
For Kenyans watching from Nairobi, the events in Iran serve as a stark reminder of how quickly economic mismanagement can erode social stability. While Kenya’s inflation has largely stabilized, the Iranian crisis illustrates the fragility of economies heavily reliant on imports when currency buffers fail.
As security forces ramp up their presence, the situation remains fluid. The government has yet to offer a concrete economic recovery plan, leaving citizens like Alborz with few options. "We want the mullahs gone," is the sentiment echoing from the streets, suggesting that for many, the cost of silence has finally exceeded the risk of speaking out.
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